2024 Calendar Week 32

Posted on August 12, 2024

Overview of China’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for July 2024

According to the data released by National Bureau of Statistics, in July, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) was 49.4%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month.

  • By Enterprise Size: Large enterprises saw their PMI rise to 50.5%, up by 0.4%. Medium enterprises index (49.4%), dropping by 0.4% and small enterprises (46.7%), dropping by 0.7%, were below the critical threshold.
  • Key Sub-Indices: Production Index: Registered at 50.1% (above the critical threshold), indicating a slight expansion in manufacturing output. New Orders Index(49.3%), down by 0.2 percentage points, Raw Material Inventory Index (47.8%), up by 0.2%, Employment Index (48.3%), up by 0.2 percentage points, and Supplier Delivery Time Index (49.3%), down by 0.2 percentage points, were all below the critical threshold.

The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index stood at 50.2%, a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points from June. Despite the dip, the sector is still in expansion territory.

  • By Industry: Construction: The Business Activity Index was 51.2%, down by 1.1 percentage points. Services: The Business Activity Index was right at the threshold of 50.0%.
  • Key Sub-Indices: New Orders Index: Fell to 45.7%, down by 1.0 percentage points, indicating a drop in market demand. Sales Prices Index (48.2%), up by 0.6 percentage points, and Employment Index (45.5%), down by 0.3 percentage points, were both below the critical threshold. Input Prices Index (50.4%) increased by 0.8 percentage points, showing an increase in input costs. Business Activity Expectation Index decreased to 56.1%, down by 1.1 percentage points, still above the critical threshold and showing positive business expectations.

Composite PMI Output Index Performance:

The Composite PMI Output Index stood at 50.2%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month. Despite the decline, it remains in the expansion zone, indicating that business production and operational activities in China continue to expand.

Data Source: https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202407/t20240731_1955901.html

Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund Signs $50 Billion Agreements with Chinese Institutions

Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, the Public Investment Fund (PIF), has entered into significant investment agreements totaling $50 billion with six Chinese leading financial institutions. This strategic move aims to bolster economic and business ties between the two nations, fostering mutual capital flows through both debt and equity channels.The agreements were signed with the Agricultural Bank of China (ABC), Bank of China (BOC), China Construction Bank (CCB), China Export and Credit Insurance Corporation (SINOSURE), Export-Import Bank of China (CEXIM), and the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC). These partnerships are part of PIF’s broader strategy to cultivate global institutional collaborations and support Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 plan, which seeks to diversify the kingdom’s economy beyond its traditional reliance on oil.

Key Objectives and Strategic Implications

The primary objective of these agreements is to facilitate two-way capital flows, promoting investment opportunities in both Saudi Arabia and China. While specific details regarding the allocation of the $50 billion have not been disclosed, the partnerships are expected to cover various sectors, including clean energy, technology, and infrastructure.This development is a testament to the deepening economic relationship between Saudi Arabia and China. The PIF, managing assets worth $925 billion as of March 2024, is already heavily invested in China, with significant stakes in major Chinese companies such as Alibaba Group Holdings and PDD Holdings. The fund’s collaboration with Chinese entities extends beyond financial markets into the energy sector, with plans to localize advanced renewable technologies in Saudi Arabia.

Broader Economic Context

The agreements come at a time when Saudi Arabia is actively seeking to enhance its global economic footprint. The PIF’s strategy aligns with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, which aims to transform the Saudi economy by investing in sectors such as entertainment, sports, tourism, and clean energy. The recent agreements with Chinese financial institutions are expected to play a crucial role in achieving these ambitious goals. Additionally, the PIF is planning to establish a new office in Beijing by early next year, further cementing its presence in the Chinese market. This move is expected to facilitate closer cooperation and more efficient management of the fund’s investments in China.

The $50 billion agreements between Saudi Arabia’s PIF and China’s top financial institutions mark a significant milestone in the economic partnership between the two countries. By fostering two-way capital flows and investing in diverse sectors, these agreements are poised to contribute to the long-term economic growth and diversification goals of both nations.

Data Source: https://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/3273010/saudi-arabia-wealth-fund-signs-us50b-agreements-6-top-chinese-institutions

Starbucks China: Navigating Challenges in Q3 Fiscal 2024

In the latest quarterly report, Starbucks Corporation has revealed a significant downturn in its China market performance for Q3 Fiscal 2024. The coffee giant experienced a 14% decline in comparable store sales in China, marking a notable shift from previous growth trends.

Key factors:

  • Transaction Volume: China saw a 7% decrease in transactions, indicating reduced foot traffic in Starbucks outlets.
  • Average Ticket: There was a 7% drop in average ticket size, suggesting customers are spending less per visit in China.

Market Analysis:

The Chinese market, traditionally a strong growth driver for Starbucks, is showing signs of vulnerability. This downturn comes amidst broader economic challenges including changing consumer behaviors post-pandemic.

Competitor Landscape:

Starbucks faces intense competition from brands like Cotti and Luckin Coffee. Luckin’s rapid expansion, with 20000 locations (recently opened in Zhongguancun, Beijing), has been a critical factor in its success. Luckin has capitalized on the growing coffee culture in China through aggressive store openings and innovative beverage offerings, such as a low-proof latte made with Moutai, a popular Chinese spirit. Additionally, Luckin’s pricing strategy, offering coffee at significantly lower prices than Starbucks, has resonated with cost-conscious consumers.

The company’s ability to reverse the sales decline in China will be crucial for maintaining investor confidence and achieving long-term growth targets in this key market. As Starbucks navigates these challenges, stakeholders will be closely monitoring the company’s strategies and their effectiveness in stabilizing and reinvigorating its China business in the coming quarters.

Data Source: https://investor.starbucks.com/news/financial-releases/news-details/2024/Starbucks-Reports-Q3-Fiscal-2024-Results/default.aspx

Apple Threatens to Refuse the WeChat and Douyin Updates

Apple’s App Store Policy Enforcement: WeChat and Douyin Updates at Risk. Apple Inc. has issued a significant warning to two of China’s leading apps, WeChat and Douyin, regarding compliance with its App Store policies. The tech giant is demanding that these apps, operated by Tencent and ByteDance respectively, eliminate payment systems that bypass Apple’s in-app purchase mechanism, which includes a 30% commission fee.

Key Developments:

  • Apple’s Policy Enforcement
  • WeChat’s Response
  • Douyin’s Compliance

Impact:

  • WeChat’s Dominance
  • Potential Consequences for Apple
  • Regulatory Challenges:

Apple’s enforcement of its App Store policies on WeChat and Douyin underscores the company’s commitment to maintaining control over in-app purchases. However, the resistance from Tencent, given WeChat’s critical role in the Chinese market, presents a complex challenge. The outcome of this standoff could have significant implications for Apple’s business strategy in China and its relationships with major app developers globally.

Data Source: https://www.macrumors.com/2024/08/02/apple-pressures-bytedance-tencent-app-fees/

Chinese Athletes Showcase at the Paris Olympics

As of August 6, 2024, China has won a total of 53 medals. This includes 21 gold medals, 16 silver medals, and 13 bronze medals. China is continuing to perform strongly in several fields where it has traditionally excelled at the Olympics, such as diving, table tennis and shooting. Additionally, there have been notable advancements in disciplines such as BMX, swimming, and tennis, areas where China has historically faced challenges.

Free Style BMX(Bicycle Motocross) Racing

China has performed exceptionally well in freestyle BMX at the 2024 Paris Olympics. Deng Yawen secured the gold medal in the women’s BMX freestyle event, marking a significant achievement for China in this sport. At just 18 years old, she showcased remarkable talent and skill during the competition. Deng dominated the competition with a score of 92.60 in her second run, showcasing impressive aerial maneuvers such as a double tailwhip and a no-handed backflip.

This victory represents China’s first gold medal in BMX freestyle and highlights the country’s growing prowess in this relatively new Olympic discipline. Deng’s performance was a standout, as she led from her first run and managed to improve her score slightly in her second attempt. This achievement is part of China’s broader strategy to enhance its medal count in sports where it has not traditionally excelled.

Swimming Breakthrough:

Pan Zhanle’s world record-breaking performance in the men’s 100-meter freestyle propelled Chinese swimming into the spotlight. His achievement, coupled with rigorous doping control measures, demonstrates the commitment to integrity and excellence within the Chinese swimming community. This breakthrough creates new opportunities for Chinese swimmers across a range of competitive events.

Tennis Rising Star:

Zheng Qinwen’s stunning victory in the women’s singles final marked a significant milestone for Chinese tennis. Her mature and composed performance captivated audiences worldwide, establishing her as a rising star and potential global ambassador for Chinese sport.

Despite her relative youth in the tennis world, Zheng Qinwen has already acquired a dominant nickname, “The Queen.” This moniker is derived from the phonetic pronunciation of her name, which is similar to the English word “Queen”.

The triumphs of Chinese athletes at the Paris Olympics have injected new energy into the sports industry. As we look ahead, it will be interesting to observe how the Paris Olympics and the global sports landscape evolve.

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